Friday, June 27, 2014

ISIS rise caused by global warming?

Now wait a minute.  We know that the doctrine and ideology that drives ISIS comes directly from the Qur'an and Islamic tenets, but there is some validity to the claim that climate change does cause societal fluctuations which include war and conquest.  Whether that is true in this case remains to be seen, but it is food for thought.

From SLATE June 27 by Eric Holthaus

Is climate change destabilizing Iraq?

This winter was not a good one for farmers in the Fertile Crescent.

A punishing drought hit most of Syria and northern Iraq during what’s normally the wettest time of the year. In the mountains of eastern Turkey, which form the headwaters of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers, snow and rain were less than half of normal. The region has seen one of the worst droughts in decades.

Drought is becoming a fixture in the parched landscape, due to a drying trend of the Mediterranean and Middle East region fueled by global warming. The last major drought in this region (2006-2010) finished only a few years ago. When taken in combination with other complex drivers, increasing temperatures and drying of agricultural land is widely seen as assisting in the destabilization of Syria under the regime of Bashar al-Assad. Before civil war broke out there, farmers abandoned their desiccated fields and flooded the cities with protests. 

A series of U.N. reports released earlier this year found that global warming is already destabilizing nation states around the world, and Syria has been no exception.

With the ongoing crisis in Iraq seemingly devolving by the day, it’s not a stretch to think something similar could already be underway just next door.

Read it all

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