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Friday, January 28, 2011

A new generation of "Baby BOOMers"

In Mark Steyn's book "America Alone" he makes the point that birth rates within Islamic communities across the West and Europe are sometimes five times higher than the indigenous population.  He tells us that within a few decades, Islam will enjoy a significant increase in power and control, setting off another round of demands, agitation, demonstrations and acquiescence by the now declining local peoples. 

Now we have one of the most respected polling companies, Pew, tell us that yes, Mr. Steyn is right.  If true, we may indeed be doomed.


From AOL News Jan 27

World Muslim Population Grows Twice as Fast as Others

The global number of Muslims is expected to jump 35 percent in the next 20 years, growing twice as fast as the non-Muslim population, according to a study published today. But Muslims are multiplying at a slower pace than before, and their numbers are expected to level out in the coming decades.

That's according to the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life, which
published on its website today projections for growth in the Muslim population between 2010 and 2030. The analysis could stoke fears among critics of Islam in Europe and America, who claim the religion clashes with Western values and spreads extremism. But it could also abate those fears, with evidence that Islam is not exploding across the globe as fast as some pundits may have suggested.

So the creep of sharia will just slow down a little, and we have nothing to fear for at least another 20 years.  I feel better now.


According to the Pew report, the total number of people who identify themselves as Muslims is currently about 1.6 billion. That figure is expected to rise to 2.2 billion by the year 2030. That's an average growth rate of 1.5 percent, compared with forecast growth of 0.7 percent for non-Muslims over the next 20 years. If those trends continue, Muslims will make up 26.4 percent of the world's population in 2030, compared with 23.4 percent now.
While today's findings don't include information on the growth rates of other religious groups, other sources have estimated the world's Christian population to be 30 percent to 33 percent. Pew said it plans to release similar reports on the growth of worldwide Christianity, Hinduism, Buddhism, Sikhism and Judaism.

Today's figures show the rate of overall growth in the world's Muslim communities is slowing. As more Muslim women go to school longer and join the workforce, and as people move to cities and living standards improve, the birth rate among Muslims is forecast to drop -- approaching that of non-Muslims.

"The increase in the last 20 years is greater than what we expect in the next 20 years," Pew's associate director, Alan Cooperman,
told CNN. He said Muslim population growth "is a line that's flattening out. They're increasing, but they're getting closer to the norm, the average."

Thus, any predictions that Europe may in the future become "Eurabia," with a majority Muslim population, don't pan out.

Basing that assumption on one aspect of Islam: more Muslim babies is silly.  There are many facets to Islamic hegemony, and many ways to achieve it.  Reat Bat Ye'or to see how the time lays out regarding the change from Europe to Eruabia, and why it is fact, not conjecture.


"There's this overwhelming assumption that Muslims are populating the Earth, and not only are they growing at this exponential rate in the Muslim world, they're going to be dominating Europe and, soon after, the United States," Amaney A. Jamal, an associate professor of politics at Princeton and a consultant for Pew on global Islam, told The New York Times. "But the figures don't even come close. I'm looking at all this and wondering, Where is all the hysteria coming from?"

According to the Pew report, 6 percent of Europeans are Muslim today, a proportion that's expected to rise to 8 percent by 2030. In France and Belgium, the numbers are a bit higher -- forecast to hit 10 percent in 20 years. Britain will have the same average percentage as the continent -- 8 percent.

In the United States, the number of Muslims is expected to double over the next 20 years, to 6.2 million. The proportion of U.S.-born Muslims in America is projected to rise from 35 percent to 45 percent over that period.
Read it all

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