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Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Hiding in plain sight

Iran, as we know is proceeding with it's plans to make nuclear weapons.  The sanctions have not worked to prevent Iran from acquiring the needed material and expertise to build and operate nuclear research and manufacturing facilities.  Now they want all sanctions lifted in exchange for access to their nuclear operations.  This is folly, as opening the gates of commerce and money will just make it easier and quicker to build a operational weapon. 

Their enrichment levels on the uranium they have is now at 20%, only 3.5% is needed to power a civilian power plant.  There should be no question as to the intentions of enriching to this level, but the IAEA thinks they can find the truth by inspection of Iran's nuclear capabilities in an "full supervision" mode.  Iran will give the IAEA just enough access to stop serious inquiry, but not enough to quell serious questions.  Eventually the inspectors will be kicked out, followed by the news that a nuclear bomb has exploded somewhere in the uninhabited desert of Eastern Iran.

Times up, what do you do now?


From The Jerusalem Post September 5

Iran ready for 'full' UN oversight if sanctions go

 Ahmadinejad visits Iran's Natanz nuclear facility
Is this one a bomb?  This one?  How about this one?

TEHRAN - Iran would be ready to grant the UN atomic watchdog "full supervision" of its nuclear activities for five years if UN sanctions were lifted, a senior official was quoted as saying on Monday, an offer the West may greet with skepticism.

Fereydoun Abbasi-Davani, the head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization, did not spell out whether he meant unrestricted access for the United Nations' International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in its probe into Tehran's nuclear program.

Since talks between global powers and Iran foundered in January, Russia has advocated a phased plan in which Tehran would address concerns that it may be seeking nuclear weapons, and be rewarded with an easing of sanctions.

But Abbasi-Davani made clear Iran has no intention of suspending its uranium enrichment program, a condition enshrined in a series of United Nations sanctions resolutions passed against Tehran since 2006.

Western nations suspect Iran is trying to use its nuclear program to develop atomic weapons. The Islamic Republic has denied the charge, saying it wants to produce nuclear energy.

The IAEA, which in a report last week said it was "increasingly concerned" about possible nuclear weapons development work in Iran, has long complained of a lack of Iranian cooperation with agency inspectors.

It has called on Tehran to implement the IAEA's so-called Additional Protocol, which would give the UN agency unfettered access to Iranian sites, even those not declared to be nuclear-related, at short notice.

While granting inspectors regular access to its declared nuclear facilities, including the Natanz enrichment site, the Islamic state has so far refused to allow the Vienna-based agency wider inspection powers.

If you tell them it does not exist, then it does not exist.  Nice trick.

"BASELESS"

Some analysts believe the West may have to accept some continued enrichment in Iran for any chance of an end to the standoff over Tehran's nuclear aims. In return, Iran would have to accept much more intrusive inspections.

Iran has recently sought to demonstrate increased openness about its nuclear program, allowing a senior IAEA official rare access to a research and development facility last month.

But Western diplomats have dismissed this as a "charm offensive" and an apparent maneuver by Iran to ease world pressure on the country, while forging ahead with an enrichment drive that can have both civilian and military purposes.

Iran just put their first civilian nuclear power plant online, so they have the civilian end covered.  Coming up, the military aspect.

Read it all

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